Wednesday, 16 February 2011

The Latest Scottish Poll




I'm a PC (Poll Cynic) but today it wasn't possibly not to be slightly encouraged by the Ipsos MORI poll published.  Many others have given their articulate opinions such as the Peat WorrierJoan McApline and Alex Porter and I concur, although a little less excitedly, with their findings.

Recent polls which stated Labour was so far ahead of the SNP didn't quite ring true with me and I assumed most of the contributors were from labour heartlands.  No one I know intends to change their vote in May and our one and only Labour voter may just be coming round understanding the SNP is the only voice we have for Scotland. The unionist parties manipulate us at their London leaders' behest.

In case you don't know the basic results of the poll here they are:

Holyrood Constituencies

* SNP  37%
* Labour  36%
* Conservative  13%
* Libdem  10%
* Greens  2%
* SSP  1%
* Others 1%

Holyrood List

* SNP  35%
* Labour  33%
* Conservative  13%
* Libdems  10%
* Greens  6%
* SSP  1%
* Others  2%

In pie chart form courtesy of PoliticalBetting:

click to enlarge

The complete tables of the poll can now be read here.

Update:  Since writing this post Calum Cashley had published one of his own.  It's always a pleasure to read his analysis.

26 comments:

Mr. Mxyzptlk said...

Subrosa(and other assorted Nationalists)

You enjoy reading that one poll(whooppee!) the real one in may is going to be a lot grimmer for you Nationalists to read.

CrazyDaisy said...

Mixed up blokie is clearly Rimmer from Red Dwarf!

Smeg Head!

CD

subrosa said...

Niko, you know I'm PC but I thought it only fair to highlight the efforts of other bloggers.

subrosa said...

Is that a compliment CD? :)

wisnaeme said...

Do you have crystal balls,Mr Mxyzptlk?

. . . or perhaps you have an overseer's position in sorting and counting postal votes by appointment to the Westmidden establishment, Mr Mxyzptlk ? A position which Westmidden assures us is quite neutral, totally impartial and quite above reproach or suspicious scrutiny.
...and of course none of westmidden's beezness. Hence their tendency to be naturally disinterested.
...aye right.
I was just wondering if that fine upstanding Supermarket cartel will be volunteering their services to transport voters to the polling booths, come May?
...and offering points for folk easily persuaded into buying their product of choice,allegedly.

cynicalHighlander said...

wisnaeme said...

Do you have crystal balls,Mr Mxyzptlk?

He's made a rather cutting resolution and is having difficulty in sleeping at the moment.

Conan the Librarian™ said...

Aye Cyn.

He went off at half cock on that one.

Foxy Brown said...

The Tories are ahead of the Libs - that's unusual, isn't it?

Alex Porter said...

Thanks for the menshy Rosie. I think many of guessed the situation was being misrepresented to create the impression that Labour was a shoe-in.

The stories written up by some I think were about the release of tension and giving the troops a boost..

I think the SNP will win though as can be seen Unionists do a lot of damage even with an SNP government in. Imagine what'll be like if Labour won in Holyrood? Dark ages..

Dubbieside said...

Conan

I saw Mr Mxy in Waterstones, he was buying "Micro Surgery for Dummies"

Conan the Librarian™ said...

Dubbie

He was in Boots earlier, buying nail clippers.

voterinscotland said...

We saw him in Tescos asking if he got extra points when he votes.

subrosa said...

Wisnaeme, I think Niko admitted there was postal fraud at the last election, although I may be wrong.

Tesco has stopped laying on buses here so they'll be no bribery here.

subrosa said...

He may be having difficulty sleeping altogether after 5 May CH.

subrosa said...

It wis the tweezers that broucht a tear tae he ee' Conan.

subrosa said...

The libdems may have lost a lot of supporters in the central belt Foxy. Hence the drop.

subrosa said...

My pleasure Alex. The earlier polls had too wide a gap to make sense really, especially when nobody I talk with is changing their vote.

subrosa said...

Oh Dubbie, surely not all labour voters are dummies? Then again ...

wisnaeme said...

Aye, ah reckon that Ewe tyre righting fella who trolls the Hootmon's comment columns needs a spanner to tighten his nuts anaw.

subrosa said...

He/she's a strange person. Awfy bitter type wisnaeme.

Anon said...

Hope the SNP gets back in.

- Aangirfan.

subrosa said...

Me too Aangirfan, me too.

Jeanne Tomlin said...

From the point-of-view of an outside, I found the frantic backpedaling from the "usual suspects" in your MSM just too amusing for words.

"All right, MAYBE the SNP has a chance. But... but... but... Maybe it's an outlier..." They whinge.

It's gotta make you laugh.

subrosa said...

They're really upset it was an independent MORI poll Jeanne, but many have said it's a rogue poll. I doubt that but then I'm going by what I see and hear in the east.

Jeanne Tomlin said...

It's such an education reading posts from Scots. You wouldn't believe how long it took me to figure out what skelpt means. And for the longest, I thought "outwith Scotland" was another way of saying England. LOL

However, hearing that a certain Tory MSP believes that women who are raped deserve it for having the nerve to walk down certain streets is a good bit less amusing.

And Ms. Goldie says that an apology is sufficient. Hmmm...

subrosa said...

Jeanne, you're a brave woman to work out our varied language. My favourites are 'press' and 'scunnered'. Strangely in my kitchen the units are cupboards but any full length cupboard is a press. Don't ask me why. :)

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